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Local Authority population projections

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Projections only indicate what may happen should the recent trends continue.

On 30 June 2008, population projections for the 22 unitary authorities areas in Wales were published for the first time.

There is a high level of interest in population and migration data for Wales, and so a strong demand for projections at the local authority level. Those who plan for the future, to deliver services and to help frame sustainable policies, need to consider the population by age and sex. Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population and are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration.

Note that the local authority population projections are not constrained to the National Population projections for Wales. Guidance on using the two sets of projections are provided in the 'Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2008-based) - Guidance Leaflet'.

Additional information on why the local authority projections are not constrained to the National Population Projections are available in the 'Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2006-based) - Summary Report'.

Publications

2011-based

Local authority population projections, 2011-based: Variant projections

2008-based

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2008-based): Local Authority Report

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2008-based) - Summary Report

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2008-based) - Technical Report

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2008-based) - Guidance Leaflet

2006-based

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2006-based) - Local Authority Report

Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (2006-based) - Summary Report

Frequently Asked Questions

Local Authority Population Projections - Frequently Asked Questions

Statistical Articles

2006-based population projections for the areas identified in the Wales Spatial Plan

StatsWales

More detailed datasets are available on the StatsWales website.

StatsWales website: 2011-based local authority projections (external link)

StatsWales website: 2008-based local authority projections (external link)

Other sources of information

Office for National Statistics website: Subnational Population Projections (SNPP) comparability across the UK (external link)

This jointly produced paper provides information on sub-national projections in each of the UK countries. The paper summarises the different approaches and methodologies, and provides guidance to users on how to use these projections.

If you are unable to find the exact information required please Email stats.popcensus@wales.gsi.gov.uk