Child and Working Tax Credits error and fraud statistics 2021 to 2022
This report presents the estimate from the tax year 2021 to 2022 Error and Fraud Analytical Programme, which measures error and fraud in the tax credits system.
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For the tax year 2021 to 2022, the central estimate of the rate of error and fraud favouring the claimant is around 4.5%. This equates to around £510 million paid out incorrectly through error and fraud.
HMRC identified a minor analytical error in the statistics published on 22 June 2023 affecting the final central estimate (£ million) and upper bound (%) of tax credits error and fraud in tax year 2020 to 2021, as a result of incorrect rounding. We have published a correction to paragraph 3, table 1.1 and table 6 of the commentary, and the Annex B data tables, on 13 July 2023. The final central estimate of tax credits error and fraud in 2020 to 2021 is £730m, a reduction of £10m from the version published in June 2023, and the upper bound for the error and fraud rate is 5.4%, a reduction of 0.1 percentage points from the version published in June 2023. The estimates for tax year 2021 to 2022 are not affected.
More information on revisions to Official Statistics can be found in the HMRC policy on revisions to official statistics.
Media contact:
HMRC Press Office
Statistical contact:
benefitsandcredits.analysis@hmrc.gov.uk
Further details, including data suitability and coverage, are included in the background quality report.
Last updated 13 July 2023 + show all updates
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HMRC identified a minor analytical error in the statistics published on 22 June 2023 affecting the final central estimate (£ million) and upper bound (%) of tax credits error and fraud in tax year 2020 to 2021, as a result of incorrect rounding. We have published a correction to paragraph 3, table 1.1 and table 6 of the commentary, and the Annex B data tables, on 13 July 2023.
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First published.