Population Projections for National Parks in Wales, 2006-based

These projections are based on a similar methodology as was used to produce the 2006-based local authority population projections for Wales.  

The key points from the release are:

• The populations of both Pembrokeshire and Snowdonia National Parks are projected to decrease between 2006 and 2031, while the population of Brecon Beacons National Park is projected to remain relatively constant.
• Brecon Beacon’s population is projected to initially increase, to a high of 33,600 in 2019 before subsequently decreasing.   The population in 2031 is projected to be the same as 2006, standing at 33,000.
• Pembrokeshire’s population is projected to decline throughout the period, from 22,300 in 2006 to 19,600 in 2031 (a 12.2 per cent decrease).
• Snowdonia’s population is projected to remain relatively constant between 2006 and 2014.  The population is then projected to decrease from 25,700 in 2014 to 24,600 in 2031.
• The decrease in the projected population in the National Parks is driven by an ageing population, leading to more deaths and less births.  This is offset in the Brecon Beacons by migration from other parts of the UK.
• All the National Parks are projected to see a significant increase in the population aged 65 and over.

Contact

Tel: 029 2082 1595
E-mail: stats.popcensus@wales.gsi.gov.uk

Next update

January 2011 (provisional - to be confirmed on the 'Due Out Soon' page)