Benefit expenditure tables
Benefit expenditure and caseload tables
Introduction - explanatory notes
These notes and tables are consistent with Budget 2013: 20 March 2013:
The DWP Social Security forecast is published in the EFO supplementary fiscal table, 2.16, at:
The forecasts in tables 1a, 1b, and 1c are consistent with Budget 2013, published on 20 March 2013. These update those produced under the terms of the Memorandum of Understanding with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which is published here. 
Historic figures have been collated from departmental reports and accounts of DWP and its predecessor departments, and make use of statistical data collected from DWP's benefit administration systems where necessary to provide further disaggregation.
Historic expenditure figures may differ from those published in the accounts due to differing definitions and the inclusion of data that has become available since. Historic caseload data also comes from statistical reports, although may differ from published figures because these tables provide estimates for financial years, rather than point-in-time figures. Some historical information will differ from that previously published on these pages, as new information has become available and/or methods for breaking down expenditure have been improved.
While every effort has been made to ensure as consistent a series as possible, care needs to be exercised in interpreting all figures, as expenditure in certain areas has transferred between government departments, and it has not always been possible to identify the impact such transfers have had on expenditure.
Forecasts have been produced using a number of techniques appropriate to the particular benefits, taking into account demographic, economic, and social and policy factors.
Individual explanatory notes are included in each of the tables.
Benefit expenditure and caseload forecasts
Medium term forecast for all DWP benefits: (Last updated 26/03/13, next update due 23 April 2013)
Tables 1a, 1b, and 1c are consistent with Budget 2013. More detailed tables will be published on 23/04/13
Long term projections: (Last updated 20/07/12)
The tables above are consistent with the Fiscal Sustainability report published by OBR in July 2012. However, the Long Term projections have now been updated to align with the Benefit Expenditure and Caseload forecasts produced for the 2012 Autumn Statement to enable the Impact Assessment for the single-tier pension to be based on the most up to date information. These have now been published and can be found at link to Long term projections of pensioner benefits and tables to accompany this ad hoc.
Council Tax Benefit forecasts
The document below describes the methodology which underpins the Council Tax Benefit medium term expenditure forecasts, and past and future trends in the forecast. It has been produced at the request of a number of parties including the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG), the devolved administrations, and individual local authorities. It will assist them as they prepare for localisation of the benefit from April 2013. Figures are consistent with the 2012 Autumn Statement.
- Annex: Caseload and expenditure by country and statistical group.
(Last updated 11/12/12) - Council Tax Benefit: Forecasts and Assumptions
Historic forecasts
Past expenditure and caseload tables can be found here:
Period |
Budget |
Autumn |
Long Term Projections |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 |
Budget 2012 Summary only Budget 2012 |
Autumn 2012 |
|
| 2011 | Budget 2011 |
Autumn 2011 |
|
| 2010 | March Budget 2010 June Budget 2010 |
Autumn 2010 |
|
| 2009 | Budget 2009 |
PBR 2009 |
|
| 2008 | Budget 2008 |
PBR 2008 |
|
| 2007 | Budget 2007 |
* CSR 2007 |
|
| 2006 | Budget 2006 |
PBR 2006 |
|
| 2005 | Budget 2005 |
PBR 2005 |
|
| Notes relating to Budgets & PBR details | Details of old budgets and PBRs |
* CSR - Comprehensive Spending Review
Benefit expenditure outturn
Benefit expenditure by Local Authority: (Last updated 21/12/12, next update due 23 April 2013)
Tables showing benefit expenditure by country, region and local authority from 2000/01 to 2011/12
(last updated 21/12/12, next update planned for March/April 2013)Tables showing Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit expenditure by Local Authority from 1996/97 to 2011/12
(Last updated 21/12/12, next update planned for July 2013)Benefit expenditure by Parliamentary Constituency: (Last updated 21/12/12, next update due 23 April 2013)
Disability Living Allowance expenditure by reported medical condition and rate paid: (Last updated 26/09/12, these tables are only updated once a year and therefore the totals used in breakdowns may not be consistent with those published in the main expenditure tables. Next update planned for September 2013
Employment and Support Allowance expenditure by reported medical condition and phase of claim: (Last updated 24/12/2012), these tables are only updated once a year and therefore the totals used in breakdowns may not be consistent with those published in the main expenditure tables. Next update planned for September 2013
State Pension expenditure by country of residence: (Last updated 26/09/12, these tables are only updated once a year and therefore the totals used in breakdowns may not be consistent with those published in the main expenditure tables. Next update planned for September 2013
Tables showing State Pension expenditure by country from 1995/96 to 2011/12
Winter Fuel Payments By EEA Country: (First published 26/09/2012, these tables are only updated once a year and therefore the totals used in breakdowns may not be consistent with those published in the main expenditure tables. Next update planned for September 2013)
Review of the content of the benefit expenditure and caseload tables.
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We continually review the content of these pages. It would help us to improve these pages if you would take a couple of minutes to e-mail us with your comments to the address below. In particular, we are keen to know:
e-mail: expenditure.tables@dwp.gsi.gov.uk
Alternatively you can write to:
Forecasting Division
Analytical Services Directorate
Department for Work and Pensions
Caxton House,
Tothill Street
London,
SW1H 9NA
While we will consider requests for further information, we cannot guarantee to provide them in all instances. We regret that we usually do not enter into long exchanges with individuals by e-mail.
